I don't have a crystal ball but I do know how markets work. Predictions are tough, especially about the future! But here is my best educated guess going forward.
As I outlined here based on history there is a good chance stocks or bonds make a comeback by the end of the year. If that is the case, then as I outlined here that would fit within the timeline of the current "correction" finding a bottom relatively soon (within weeks or a few months) and rebounding by end of the year.
If stocks don't bottom and make a comeback within that time then we can surmise we are in a longer "bear market" likely with more downside ahead.
That only tells us a recovery is "sooner or later" but it does help by putting a clock and downside risks to it. In other words if we don't start finding a bottom soon within weeks or a few months then we are in for a longer downturn with more downside ahead. Similarly, if we see any significant declines from here, (below the recent low on 5/20/22), that also would seem to indicate a more prolonged downturn.
The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author(s) noted and may or may not represent the views of Capital Analysts or Lincoln Investment. The material presented is provided for informational purposes only. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No person or system can predict the market. All investments are subject to risk, including the risk of principal loss.